21st December

Race Analysis

130 Haydock 2miles chase

Intimate was given a very considerate ride first time over fences and could obviously be much better than this mark,the trainer is 37% with her chasers and its a fair fav but the right price.

Netywell is 4w-1p-7r on heavy ground and 4w-1p-8r between Dec and Feb so its got a fair bit going for it but i dont think it has much in hand off this mark and is around the right price.

One that isnt the right price is Findthetime which is an incredible price.Ive either got this totally wrong or this is the best VALUE price you will see for a long time.It posted a good rating last time out over further but its best rating from last season would see it going very close.I also like the the fact its 4w-2p-8r on soft/heavy ground and 3 from 6 between Dec and Feb.The only small concern is the trainers horses arent flying at the moment but id consider anything over 6.0 a good price,so this mornings price is BIG!

Cerendipity is the right price but has got the stamina reserves which may serve it well late on while Xcitations needs better ground and doesnt look good enough anyway.

(Big old anti-climax.Horse with no form over here makes all)

115 Ascot 2m3f Chase

This is a tight litle race with no real standout.

Scarface is probably the best value for last years winning yard,it posted a good rating last time and is 5 from 9 in fields of 7 or less.

Galop De Chasse looks sure to go well and is slightly bigger than ive got it(4.0),the trainer is 15 from 44 with her handicap chasers here.Kotmask is possibly better over shorter although has a good rating from last season over this trip but that was at Plumpton which would be an easier test than this.

Prince Quali is 2w-1p-3r in this grade but is up in trip and thats a doubt.Its strength in the market suggests they dont think it will be a problem but id prefer to see it happen first.

If the heavens totally opened then Carbon King would be worth a few quid.It wins from December onwards,so you can discount its 2 runs this season,it loves heavy ground and a rating on that ground ,over this trip from last season would see it go very close.

(Fair enough result,made sense)


Back Selections from 2 systems 

21/12/2024 13:15 ASCOT Galop De Chasse -PU

21/12/2024 13:30 HAYDOCK Netywell -PU

21/12/2024 14:48 HEREFORD Famoso -3rd

21/12/2024 17:30 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Nikovo -WON(BSP 5.9)


£2.5m LAY System(Must be priced 5.5+ to qualify)

21/12/2024 12:40 ASCOT Just Lucky Sivola -Didnt Qualify

21/12/2024 15:35 ASCOT Kabral Du Mathan -BEATEN

21/12/2024 18:45 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Havana Sky -WON

21/12/2024 19:45 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) My Brother Mike -BEATEN


Sharp Track System(Must be fav to qualify)

HEREFORD 103 Face D Music -UP

HEREFORD 213 Below the Radar/Nemean Lion

HEREFORD 248 Paddy in the Caddy(All backs)

WOLVES 440 Ruling Master(LAY)



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