19th December
Race Analysis(Just the one race today)
207 Ffos Las 3m1 Chase
Loads of deadwood here and i make it a 2 horse race.
Haut Folin is solid and any improvement from its reappearance run will make it tough to beat,however its a little shorter than i would have it now.
Scorpion King produced its career best rating last time out around the course and distance and with the trainer/jockey combo operating at a decent 26% strike rate( 4 from 8 over fences) its value at anything over 4.0.
Mumbles moves up a mile in trip but it really needs to improve for it while Bobmahley would have chances if you went back far enough but for now,its got it to do.
Wide to West looks far too short to me even at 7/1,ive got it around the 20s mark,even its best runs from last season leave it needing to find 7Ibs for me.
(Got this one spot on.A strong staying performance and the 5.5 available this morning was great value,they both pulled miles clear)
Back selections from 2 systems
12/19/2024 12:57 FFOS LAS Flintara -PU
12/19/2024 14:55 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Billyb -UP
12/19/2024 15:30 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Rogue De Vega -3rd
£2.5m LAY system(Must be priced 5.5+ at the off)
19/12/2024 14:55 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Bravo Zulu -WON(looked beaten,touched 30s in running)
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