17th December

 245 Wincanton 2m4f chase

Gyenyame looks way too short to me here despite it fairly progressive.It won at 2/7 in a 3 runner event last time and on my ratings,it needs to continue to progress to take this.

King Arise might bounce on its second run after a long lay off but if it doesnt then its a big danger and represents good value.

Tango Tara represents a yard with a 30% strike rate with his chasers here,it returns after a lay off and the market will tell its tale,its not out of it on bare ratings though while Yggdrasil is anohher back from a mammoth absence,I feel the trainer will have it fit as his chasers go well here but whether it can still do it remains open to question.

The drop in trip will suit Another Folly and its slightly overpriced while Another Million paid for going toe to toe with the progressive King Turgeon last time,its been given some time to get over that and is another slightly overpriced.

(Once again,called it spot on...fav was one of the first beat and only the miracles in the saddle got it to finish where it did.The best value in the race won in good style)

300 Catterick 2m chase

I feel if Flamelco stands up,it wins this.Its got 7Ibs in hand on my ratings and jumped left on a right handed track last time,so will be more at home here.Sean Bowen is booked and he doesnt come here often(6 wins from 14 rides last 5 years) and the trainer even less( 1 from 2 last 5 years).Ive got it as an even money chance so anything around 6/4 is great value IMO.

Delpotro drops in class and is slightly progressive,i rate it the main danger.

Langton Wold ran very well over hurdles and is unexposed over fences,I can see it improving but it needs to.

Getaway Jewel will flatter to deceive at some point during the race while HerecomesHogan looks awful value to me,very inconsistent and unseated last time.

(An unbelieveable price as it returned 4/1 and hosed up! Hopefully some kept backing like I did on the exchange)

System Back Bets

17/12/2024 16:30 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Volenti -WON(BSP 2.28)

17/12/2024 18:00 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Dark Kestrel

£2.5m LAY System(Must be priced between 5.5+ to qualify)

730 Newcastle Cut to the Chase

Sharp Track System (Must be fav at the off)

1230 You Some Girl(BACK) -3rd

200 Catterick Serious Chat(LAY) - BEATEN but didnt qualify